Context:

  • On September 26, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump announced a new wave of tariffs on key imports, including 100% duties on branded pharmaceutical products, 25% tariffs on heavy-duty trucks, and 50% tariffs on kitchen cabinets, effective from October 1, 2025.
  • This follows a series of investigations initiated by the U.S. under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962, which empowers President Trump to impose tariffs citing national security reasons.

Key Facts:

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  • These measures mark a continuation of Trump’s “America First” economic policy, with significant ramifications for global trade, investor confidence, and bilateral ties—particularly with close trading partners like India.
  • This announcement comes amid ongoing concerns about the weaponization of trade policy, wherein national security rhetoric is increasingly used to justify protectionist economic actions.

Justifications and Industry Response

  • Rebuilding domestic manufacturing capacity.
  • Countering “unfair” foreign competition.
  • Addressing national security vulnerabilities, particularly in pharmaceutical supply chains.
  • Appealing to core electoral constituencies in manufacturing-heavy states.

Industry Pushback

  • The Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America opposed the new drug tariffs, noting that earlier this year, 53% of the $85.6 billion worth of medicine ingredients used in the U.S. were produced domestically, while the rest came from Europe and other allied nations.
  • The Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America  warned of supply chain disruptions and increased drug prices.
  • The U.S. Chamber of Commerce expressed concern over tariffs on trucks, noting key suppliers like Mexico, Canada, Japan, Germany, and Finland are long-standing allies and pose no national security risk.

Implications for Global Trade

  • Trade Uncertainty and Market Volatility: The unpredictability of tariff announcements paralyzes business decisions, disrupts supply chains, and deters long-term investment, particularly in industries like pharmaceuticals that require stable regulatory frameworks.
  • Weakening of Multilateral Trade Norms: The frequent invocation of national security exceptions dilutes the authority of the World Trade Organization (WTO), undermining the global rules-based trading order.
  • Strategic Realignment Among Trade Partners: Nations affected by the tariffs may increasingly pivot toward regional trade blocs (e.g., RCEP, EU-Japan FTA), reducing their reliance on U.S. trade relations.

Implications for India

  • Pharmaceutical Sector Exposure: India is a key supplier of generic and branded pharmaceuticals to the U.S. market.
    • While generics may escape immediate tariff hikes, the wider industry sentiment and investment risks could affect Indian pharmaceutical exports and pricing competitiveness.
  • Challenge to Atmanirbhar Bharat: While India’s Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan and PLI (Production-Linked Incentive) schemes aim to boost domestic pharmaceutical production, dependence on exports to the U.S. makes the sector vulnerable.
  • Disruption in India-U.S. Trade Talks: India and the U.S. have long negotiated trade deals on tariff rationalization, particularly in agriculture, medical devices, and digital services. These unilateral actions by the U.S. may:
    • Complicate ongoing FTA discussions
    • Prompt India to reassess reciprocal tariff measures

Way Forward for India

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